Thursday, September 16, 2004

COMMENT: Hartlepool - Too close to call?

Too close to call?

An opinion poll published by the Evening Mail on polling day for the Birmingham Hodge Hill by-election should be proof enough that any single constituency opinion poll should be treated with extreme caution.

Column one gives the Hodge Hill opinion poll figures which have been adjusted to exclude non voters.

Column two is the actual Hodge Hill result.

Column three is the Hartlepool opinion poll figures

------------------Hodge Hill Poll ----- RESULT ---- HARTLEPOOL POLL
Labour .................. 54.1% ........ 36.5% .......... 53.0%
Liberal Democrats .... 23.3% ........ 34.2% .......... 20.0%
Conservatives ......... 13.7% ........ 17.3% .......... 13.0%
Others ................... 8.9% ........ 12.0% .......... 14.0%

Don’t know what you think but columns one and three look very similar to me?

1 Comments:

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